|
DIST.
|
DEMOCRAT
|
REPUBLICAN
|
POLL NUMBERS
|
Cook Partisan Voting Index
|
|
AZ-01
|
Ellen Simon
|
Rep. Rick Renzi
|
Renzi 48 - Simon 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Renzi 45 - Simon 31, N. AZ Univ. Social Research Laboratory poll, 10/22-24;
Renzi 45 - Simon 32, N. AZ Univ. Social Research Laboratory poll, 10/20-22;
Simon 51 - Renzi 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
|
R + 2
|
|
AZ-05
|
Harry Mitchell
|
Rep. J.D. Hayworth
|
Mitchell 48 - Hayworth 46, SurveyUSA 10/29-31;
Hayworth 47 - Mitchell 46, Bennett Petts & Blumenthal (D) 10/18-19;
Hayworth 48 - Mitchell 45, KPNX-TV/SurveyUSA. 10/ 13-15;
Hayworth 52 - Mitchell 38, Public Opinion Strategies (Rep), 9/18-19
Hayworth 50 - Mitchell 38, KPNX-TV/SurveyUSA. 9/15-17;
Mitchell 40 - Hayworth 37, Grove Insights (D) 9/12-14
|
R + 4
|
|
AZ-08
|
Gabby Giffords
|
Randy Graf
|
Giffords 48 - Graf 38, Zimmerman & Associates and Marketing Intelligence. 10/20-23;
Giffords 45 - Graf 37, Zogby, 9/25 - 10/2;
Giffords 54 - Graf 29, Bennett Petts & Blumenthal (D) on 9/19-21;
Giffords 48 - Graf 36, Zimmerman & Associates and Marketing Intelligence. 9/16-19
|
R + 1
|
|
CA-04
|
Charles Brown
|
Rep. John Doolittle
|
Doolittle 50 - Brown 43, SurveyUSA 10/31-11/2;
Doolittle 49 - Brown 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Doolittle 51 - Brown 41, SurveyUSA 10/20-22;
Doolittle 52 - Brown 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Doolittle 41- Brown 39, (D) 8/29-31
|
R +11
|
|
CA-11
|
Jerry McNerney
|
Rep. Richard Pombo
|
McNerney 48 - Pombo 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Pombo 41 - McNerney 40, Lake Research Partners 9/30;
McNerney 46 - Pombo 42, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D), 5/1-3;
|
R + 3
|
|
CA-25
|
Robert Rodriguez
|
Rep. Buck Mckeon
|
|
R + 7
|
|
CO-04
|
Angie Paccione
|
Rep. Marilyn Musgrave
|
Musgrave 44 - Paccione 43, SurveyUSA 10/31-11/2;
Paccione 48 - Musgrave 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Paccione 45 - Musgrave 42, Strategic Services (D) 10/22-24;
Musgrave 48 - Paccione 38, KUSA-TV/SurveyUSA October 15-17, 2006;
Musgrave 46 - Paccione 36, Mason Dixon for the Denver Post 10/3-7;
Musgrave 46 - Paccione 42, KUSA-TV/SurveyUSA. 9/18-20
Musgrave 47 - Paccione 41, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
|
R + 9
|
|
CO-05
|
Jay Fawcett
|
Doug Lamborn
|
Lamborn 53 - Fawcett 41, SurveyUSA 10/31-11/2;
Lamborn 47 - Fawcett 40, Mason Dixon 10/24-27;
Lamborn 49 - Fawcett 32, Basswood Richards (R) poll 10/10;
Fawcett 37 - Lamborn 37, Mason Dixon for the Denver Post 10/3-8
|
R + 16
|
|
CO-07
|
Ed Perlmutter
|
Rick O'Donnell
|
Perlmutter 54 - O'Donnell 38, SurveyUSA 10/29-31;
O'Donnell 48 - Perlmutter 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Perlmutter 45 - O'Donnell 39, Mason Dixon for the Denver Post 10/3-7;
Perlmutter 45 - O'Donnell 34, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Perlmutter 54 - O'Donnell 37, KUSA-TV/SurveyUSA. 9/21-25
|
D + 2
|
|
CT-02
|
Joe Courtney
|
Rep. Rob Simmons
|
Courtney 48 - Simmons 47, Research 2000 10/28-30;
Simmons 47 - Courtney 42, Zogby 10/29;
Courtney 51 - Simmons 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Courtney 46 - Simmons 42, Grove Insight 10/25;
Simmons 46 - Courtney 44, UConn 10/12-18;
Simmons 44 - Courtney 41, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Simmons 50 - Courtney 36, Public Opinon Strategies (R) 9/24-25;
Courtney 41 - Simmons 40, DCCC 8/28-30
Courtney 51 - Simmons 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
|
D + 8
|
|
CT-04
|
Diane Farrell
|
Rep. Chris Shays
|
Farrell 51 - Shays 44, Zogby 10/29;
Farrell 47 - Shays 43, Research 2000 10/26-28;
Shays 52 - Farrell 43, RT Strategies 10/24-26;
Farrell 43 - Shays 43, UConn 10/16-22;
Farrell 44 - Shays 41, Bennett, Petts (D) 10/10-12;
Farrell 46 - Shays 41, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Shays 46 - Farrell 41, UConn 9/25 - 10/1;
Shays 49 - Farrell 42, Constituent Dynamics 8/27-9;
|
D + 5
|
|
CT-05
|
Chris Murphy
|
Rep. Nancy Johnson
|
Murphy 46 - Johnson 43, Research 2000 10/27-29;
Murphy 46 - Johnson 42, UConn poll 10/24-28;
Murphy 51 - Johnson 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Murphy 45 - Johnson 40 (D) poll Hotline 10/17;
Murphy 45 - Johnson 40, Grove Insight (D) 10/12;
Johnson 52 - Murphy 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Johnson 52 - Murphy 42, American Viewpoint (Rep) 10/1-2;
Johnson 42 - Murphy 42, Westhill Consulting (D) 9/25-27;
Johnson 52 - Murphy 42, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Johnson 53 - Murphy 36, Hotline 9/22;
|
D + 4
|
|
FL-09
|
Phyllis Busansky
|
Gus Bilirakis
|
Bilirakis 53 - Busansky 41, SurveyUSA 11/1-11/3;
Bilirakis 61 - Busansky 32, WFLA-TV/SurveyUSA. 9/21-25; Bilirakis 54 - Busansky 26, Tarrance Group (R) 8/22-23
|
R + 4
|
|
FL-13
|
Christine Jennings
|
Vern Buchanan
|
Jennings 49 - Buchanan 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Jennings 52 - Buchanan 41, Hamilton Beattie (D) 10/17-23; Jennings 47 - Buchanan 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Jennings 50 - Buchanan 38, Hamilton Beattie (D) 10/3-4;
Jennings 46 - Buchanan 38, Hamilton Beattie (D) 9/8-12
|
R + 4
|
|
FL-22
|
Ron Klein
|
Rep. Clay Shaw
|
Klein 49 - Shaw 42, Zogby 10/31-11/2;
Klein 50 - Shaw 48, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Klein 48 - Shaw 42, Anzalone-Liszt (D) 10/24-26;
Shaw 48 - Klein 43, Research 2000 10/16-19;
Klein 43 - Shaw 42, Anzalone-Liszt (D) 9/24-27;
Shaw 42 - Klein 38, Benenson Strategy Group (DCCC), 9/13
Shaw 52 - Klein 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
|
D + 4
|
|
FL-24
|
Clint Curtis
|
Rep. Tom Feeney
|
Feeney 45 - Curtis 43, Zogby 10/20-21;
|
R + 3
|
|
HI-02
|
Mazie Hirono
|
Bob Hogue
|
|
D +10
|
|
IA-01
|
Bruce Braley
|
Mike Whalen
|
Braley 56 - Whalen 35, Selzer & Co. 10/31-11/3;
Whalen 47 - Braley 34, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Braley 54 - Whalen 41, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 9/27-29
Braley 44 - Whalen 37, Selzer & Co.; for the Des Moines Register, 9/13
|
D + 5
|
|
IA-02
|
Loebsack
|
Rep. Jim Leach
|
Leach 50 - Loebsack 48, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Loebsack 48 - Leach 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10
|
D + 7
|
|
ID-01
|
Larry Grant
|
Bill Sali
|
Grant 38 - Sali 34, Greg Smith & Assoc. 10/25-11/1;
Sali 39 - Grant 37, Mason-Dixon 10/23-25;
Sali 49 - Grant 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Grant 22 - Sali 14, Other/Undec. 64; 8/28-9/1
|
R +19
|
|
IL-06
|
Tammy Duckworth
|
Peter Roskam
|
Duckworth 54 - Roskam 40, Zogby 10/24-29;
Duckworth 48 - Roskam 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Duckworth 44 - Roskam 43; Bennett, Petts & Blumenthal (D) 5/9-11
Roskam 46 - Duckworth 42, Richard Day Research 10/16- 22;
Roskam 43 - Duckworth 39, Market Shares Corp. 10/14-18;
Roskam 47 - Duckworth 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Duckworth 51 - Roskam 46, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) 10/8-9;
Duckworth 43 - Roskam 38, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Duckworth 41 - Roskam 41, Goodwin Simon Victoria Rsch (D) 9/18-20;
Duckworth 47 - Roskam 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Duckworth 40 - Roskam 40; Bennett, Petts & Blumenthal (D) 5/9-11
|
R + 3
|
|
IL-10
|
Dan Seals
|
Rep. Mark Kirk
|
Seals 48 - Kirk 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Kirk 46 - Seals 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/15-16;
|
D + 4
|
|
IL-14
|
Laesch
|
Rep. Dennis Hastert
|
Hastert 52 - Laesch 42, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
|
R + 5
|
|
IL-17
|
Phil Hare
|
Andrea Zinga
|
|
D + 5
|
|
IN-02
|
Joe Donnelly
|
Rep. Chris Chocola
|
Donnelly 50 - Chocola 47, Research 2000 poll, 10/30-31 for the South Bend Tribune and WSBT-TV;
Donnelly 52 - Chocola 39, Zogby 10/24-29;
Donnelly 48 - Chocola 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Donnelly 50 - Chocola 45, Research 2000 for The South Bend Tribune and WSBT-TV. 10/16-17;
Donnelly 50 - Chocola 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Donnelly 45 - Chocola 44, Mercury Public Affairs (R) 10/9;
Donnelly 49 - Chocola 39, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Donnelly 50 - Chocola 42, Research 2000 for The South Bend Tribune and WSBT-TV. 9/15-17
|
R + 4
|
|
IN-07
|
Rep. Julia Carson
|
Eric Dickerson
|
Carson 48 - Dickerson 43, WISH-TV 10/17-20;
Dickerson 45 - Carson 42, Selzer & Co. for WTHR 10/16-18;
Carson 55 - Dickerson 35, WISH-TV 9/5-8;
|
D + 9
|
|
IN-08
|
Brad Ellsworth
|
Rep. John Hostettler
|
Ellsworth 53 - Hostettler 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Ellsworth 49 - Hostettler 42, Zogby 10/24-29;
Ellsworth 50 - Hostettler 43, Research 2000 10/17-20;
Ellsworth 55 - Hostettler 32, IN State Univ Sociology Research Lab poll 10/5-12;
Ellsworth 48 - Hostettler 37, Bennett Potts (D) 10/8;
Hostettler 47 - Ellsworth 32, Zogby 10/2;
Ellsworth 51 - Hostettler 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 9/8-10;
Ellsworth 47 - Hostettler 32, AP 9/6-9/21;
Ellsworth 44 - Hostettler 40 Evansville Courier & Press, 6-21
|
R + 9
|
|
IN-09
|
Baron Hill
|
Rep. Mike Sodrel
|
Sodrel 46 - Hill 44, SurveyUSA 10/31-11/2;
Hill 48 - Sodrel 46, Zogby 10/24-29;
Hill 51 - Sodrel 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Hill 47 - Sodrel 43, SurveyUSA 10/20-22;
Hill 47 - Sodrel 45, Research 2000 10/17-20;
Hill 48 - Sodrel 46, SurveyUSA 10/6-8;
Hill 46 - Sodrel 38, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Hill 53 - Sodrel 42, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 9/8-10;
Hill 46, Sodrel 40, Research 2000 for WISH-TV, 9/5-8
|
R + 7
|
|
KA-02
|
Nancy Boyda
|
Rep. Paul Ryun
|
Ryun 45 - Boyda 41, Cooper & Secrest (D) 10/8;
Ryun 43 - Boyda 40, Infomark Research 10/6;
Ryun 50 - Boyda 33, Wilson Research Strategies 10/4;
Boyda 43 - Ryun 41, Infomark Research 9/10
|
R +13
|
|
KY-02
|
Mike Weaver
|
Rep. Ron Lewis
|
Lewis 50 - Weaver 36, Voter/Consumer Research (R) 10/29-31;
Weaver 46 - Lewis 43, Lauer Research (D) 10/26-29;
Lewis 50 - Weaver 42, Hamilton Beattie & Staff (D) 9/22-25;
Lewis 54 - Weaver 36, (R) 6/26-29
|
R +13
|
|
KY-03
|
John Yarmuth
|
Rep. Anne Northup
|
Yarmuth 50 - Northup 45, SurveyUSA 11/3-11/5;
Yarmuth 52 - Northup 44, SurveyUSA 10/30-11/1;
Yarmuth 52 - Northup 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Northrup 48 - Yarmuth 42, Louisville Courier-Journal poll 10/23-25;
Northrup 45 - Yarmuth 44, Cooper & Secrest Associates (D) poll 10/11 and 10/14-15;
Yarmuth 48 - Northup 48, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Northup 50 - Yarmuth 44, SurveyUSA 9/26-28;
|
D + 2
|
|
KY-04
|
Ken Lucas
|
Rep. Geoff Davis
|
Davis 49 - Lucas 43, SurveyUSA 11/3-11/5;
Lucas 50 - Davis 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Davis 46 - Lucas 44, SurveyUSA 10/21-23;
Davis 49 - Lucas 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Davis 42 - Lucas 36, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Lucas 46 - Davis 44, SurveyUSA 9/16-18
|
R +12
|
|
MN-01
|
Tim Walz
|
Rep. Gil Gutknecht
|
Gutknecht 50 - Walz 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Gutknecht 48 - Walz 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
|
R +19
|
|
MN-06
|
Patty Wetterling
|
Michele Bachmann
|
Bachmann 49 - Wetterling 42, SurveyUSA 11/1-11/3;
Bachmann 52 - Wetterling 42, Zogby 10/24-29;
Bachmann 48 - Wetterling 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Bachmann 49 - Wetterling 43, SurveyUSA 10/22-24;
Wetterling 48 - Bachmann 40, Star Tribune 10/6 - 12; Wetterling 49 - Bachmann 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Bachmann 47 - Wetterling 44, SurveyUSA 10/8;
Bachmann 46 - Wetterling 43, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Bachmann 44 - Wetterling 41, Feldman Group (D) 9/19-21;
Bachmann 51 - Wetterling 41, Survey USA (News Network) 9/15-17
|
R + 5
|
|
NC-08
|
Larry Kissell
|
Rep. Robin Hayes
|
Kissell 48 - Hayes 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Hayes 49 - Kissell 33, Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll 10/16-17
Kissell 51 - Hayes 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Hayes 47 - Kissell 46, OnPoint (D) 10/4
|
R + 3
|
|
NE-01
|
Maxine Moul
|
Rep. Jeff Fortenberry
|
Fortenberry 43 - Moul 38, Momentum Analysis (D) 11/1-2;
Fortenberry 48 - Moul 25, Momentum Analysis (D) 6/06;
|
R + 12
|
|
NE-03
|
Scott Kleeb
|
Adrian Smith
|
Kleeb 46 - Smith 40, Penn Schoen & Berland (D) poll 10/29
|
R + 24
|
|
NC-11
|
Heath Shuler
|
Rep. Charles Taylor
|
Shuler 52 - Taylor 43, OnPoint Polling & Rsch (D) 11/1;
Shuler 48 - Taylor 43, Zogby (I) 10/24-29;
Shuler 52 - Taylor 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Shuler 51 - Taylor 40, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Shuler 50 - Taylor 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Shuler 48 - Taylor 43, OnPoint Polling & Rsch (D) 8/14;
Shuler 46 - Taylor 42, Public Policy Polling, 5/24;
Shuler 45 - Taylor 43, Anzalone/Liszt Research 5/23
|
R + 7
|
|
NH-02
|
Paul Hodes
|
Rep. Charlie Bass
|
Hodes 48 - Bass 39, Univ. of NH Survey Center Poll 11/1-11/4;
Hodes 44 - Bass 39, Univ. of NH Survey Center Poll 11/1-11/4;
Hodes 49 - Bass 36, Univ. of NH Survey Center Poll 10/30-11/2;
Hodes 45 - Bass 37, Univ. of NH Survey Center Poll 10/29-11/1;
Bass 47 - Hodes 44, ARG (R) 10/30-31;
Bass 47 - Hodes 46, Research 2000 11/1-2;
Hodes 50 - Bass 47, RT Strategies 10/24-26;
Hodes 48 - Bass 39, Becker Institute 10/6-8;
Hodes 41 - Bass 41, Mellman Group (D) 9/22;
Bass 46 - Hodes 36 Univ. of NH Granite State Poll. 9/15-24.
|
D + 3
|
|
NJ-07
|
Linda Stender
|
Rep. Mike Ferguson
|
Ferguson 46 - Stender 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Ferguson 48 - Stender 33, Tarrance Group (R), 10/10-11;
Ferguson 49 - Stender 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Ferguson 47 - Stender 40, Anzalone-Liszt (D) 10/3-5; Ferguson 46 - Stender 33, Anzalone-Liszt (D) 5/15-21; Ferguson 54 - Stender 35, Democracy Corps (D) 5/18
|
R + 1
|
|
NM-01
|
Patsy Madrid
|
Rep. Heather Wilson
|
Madrid 50 - Wilson 48, SurveyUSA 11/3-11/5;
Madrid 49 - Wilson 45, Alubquerque Journal 11/1-2;
Wilson 48 - Madrid 46, Public Opinion Strategies (R) 10/31-11/2;
Madrid 49 - Wilson 45, Research & Polling Inc. 10/31-11/1;
Madrid 53 - Wilson 45, Zogby 10/24-29;
Madrid 45 - Wilson 42, Research & Polling Inc. 10/17-19;
Madrid 53 - Wilson 45, SurveyUSA 10/13-15;
Madrid 52 - Wilson 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Madrid 50 - Wilson 40, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Wilson 44 - Madrid 44, Albuquerque Journal 9/25-28; Wilson 45 - Madrid 42, Research & Polling Inc. 8/25-31; Wilson 51 - Madrid 46, KOB-TV/SurveyUSA. 9/18-20
|
D + 2
|
|
NV-02
|
Jill Derby
|
Dean Heller
|
Heller 47 - Derby 39,
Mason-Dixon pol, 10/26-30 for the Las Vegas Journal-Review
Heller 48 - Derby 40, Research 2000 10/23-25;
Derby 40 - Heller 40, Mellman Group, 10/14-16;
Heller 50 - Derby 46, Las Vegas Review Journal, 9/25
|
R + 8
|
|
NV-03
|
Tessa Hafen
|
Rep. Jon Porter
|
Porter 46 - Hafen 39, Mason-Dixon poll, 10/26-30 for the Las Vegas Journal-Review;
Porter 51 - Hafen 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Porter 41 - Hafen 37, Momentum Analysis 9/27;
Porter 47 - Hafen 37, Las Vegas Review Journal, 9/25
Porter 51 - Hafen 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29
|
D + 1
|
|
NY-03
|
Dave Mejias
|
Rep. Peter King
|
King 51 - Mejias 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
King 55 - Mejias 32, McLaughlin & Assoc. 10/17-18;
King 47 - Mejias 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10
|
D + 2
|
|
NY-19
|
John Hall
|
Rep. Sue Kelly
|
Hall 49 - Kelly 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Kelly 48 - Hall 46, Abacus Associates (D) 10/20-23;
Hall 49 - Kelly 40, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/15-16
Kelly 49 - Hall 44, Abacus Associates (D) 9/13-17
|
R + 1
|
|
NY-20
|
Kirsten Gillibrand
|
Rep. John Sweeney
|
Gillibrand 46 - Sweeney 43, Siena Research Institute poll 11/1-2;
Gillibrand 53 - Sweeney 42, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Gillibrand 43 - Sweeney 40, Grove Insight 10/24;
Gillibrand 54 - Sweeney 41, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/15-16
Gillibrand 44 - Sweeney 42, Global Strategy Group (D) poll; conducted 10/16-18 for Gillibrand;
Sweeney 53 - Gillibrand 39, Siena Research Institute poll; conducted 10/16-17;
Sweeney 42 - Gillibrand 41, Grove Insight (D) 10/13-15; Sweeney 51 - Gillibrand 37, Zogby (Rep) 9/22-24;
Sweeney 43 - Gillibrand 31, Grove Insight (D) 9/5-7;
Sweeney 53 - Gillibrand 34, Siena Research 8/31
|
R + 3
|
|
NY-24
|
Mike Arcuri
|
Ray Meier
|
Arcuri 52 - Meier 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Meier 42 - Arcuri 31, Tarrance Group (R) 8/28-29
|
R + 1
|
|
NY-25
|
Dan Maffei
|
Rep. Jim Walsh
|
Maffei 45 - Walsh 41, Zogby 10.27-29;
Maffei 53 - Walsh 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/4-26;
Walsh 44 - Maffei 42, Benenson Strategy Group (D) 10/25-26;
Maffei 51 - Walsh 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/15-16;
Walsh 44 - Maffei 40, Benenson Strategy Group (D) 9/20-21
|
D + 3
|
|
NY-26
|
Jack Davis
|
Rep. Tom Reynolds
|
Reynolds 50 - Davis 46, SurveyUSA 11/1-11/3;
Reynolds 47 - Davis 46, Zobgy 10/31-11/1;
Reynolds 50 - Davis 45, SurveyUSA 10/23-25;
Reynolds 49 - Davis 46, SurveyUSA 10/16-18;
Davis 56 - Reynolds 39, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/15-16;
Davis 56 - Reynolds 40, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Davis 48 - Reynolds 33, Zobgy (I) 10/4-5;
Davis 50 - Reynolds 42, Greenberg Quinlan (D) 10/3-4; Davis 50 - Reynolds 45, SurveyUSA 10/2-4;
Reynolds 45 - Davis 43, Survey USA 9/25-7
|
R + 3
|
|
NY-29
|
Eric Massa
|
Rep. John "Randy" Kuhl
|
Massa 53 - Kuhl 42, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Massa 52 - Kuhl 40, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/15-16;
Kuhl 43 - Massa 39, Cooper & Secrest Assoc. (D) 9/19-21
|
R+5
|
|
OH-01
|
John Cranley
|
Rep. Steve Chabot
|
Cranley 49 - Chabot 40, Grove Insight 10/26;
Cranley 48 - Chabot 46, RT Strategies 10/24-29;
Cranley 45 - Chabot 45, Anzalone Liszt Research (D) 7/27-8/1
|
R + 1
|
|
OH-02
|
Victoria Wulsin
|
Rep. Jean Schmidt
|
Wulsin 48 - Wulsin 45, SurveyUSA 10/31;
Wulsin 51 - Schmidt 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Schmidt 48 - Wulsin 40, WCPO-TV/SurveyUSA, 10/14-16;
Wulsin 48 - Schmidt 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10
|
R + 13
|
|
OH-06
|
Charlie Wilson
|
Chuck Blasdel
|
Wilson 58 - Blasdel 39, SurveyUSA 10/31-11/2;
Wilson 64 - Blasdel 32, SurveyUSA 10/16-18;
Wilson 54 - Blasdel 41, SurveyUSA 9/26-28;
Wilson 51 - Blasdel 25 - Cooper & Secrest (D), 9/26-7;
Wilson 56 - Blasdel 40, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Wilson 49 - Blasdel 25 - 8/06, reported in The Wash. Post 9/27
|
D + 0
|
|
OH-13
|
Betty Sutton
|
Craig Foltin
|
Sutton 56 - Fultin 33, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) 10/17-18;
Sutton 58 - Foltin 27, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) 5/31 - 6/5
|
D + 6
|
|
OH-15
|
Mary Jo Kilroy
|
Rep. Deborah Pryce
|
Kilroy 53 - Pryce 41, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Pryce 43 - Kilroy 42, Goodwin Simon Victoria (D) 9/21-24;
Pryce 44 - Kilroy 41, Benenson Strategy Group (D) 3/13-15
|
R + 1
|
|
OH-18
|
Zack Space
|
Joy Padgett
|
Space 53 - Padgett 33, Zogby 10/24-29;
Space 51 - Padgett 42, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Space 48 - Padgett 41, Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) 10/10-11;
Space 51 - Padgett 42, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Space 45 - Padgett 36, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Space 45 - Padgett 31
|
R + 6
|
|
OR-05
|
Rep. Darlene Hooley
|
Mike Erickson
|
Hooley 44 - Erickson 36, Moore Information for Mike Erickson (R). Oct. 9-10
Hooley 44 - Erickson 37, Other/Undec. 19; (R) 9/9-10
|
D + 1
|
|
PA-04
|
Jason Altmire
|
Rep. Melissa Hart
|
Hart 51 - Altmire 47, RT Strategies 10/24-29;
Hart 46 - Altmire 42, Susquehanna 10/21-22;
Hart 48 - Altimire 44, an Anzalone Liszt Research (D) 9/17-20
|
R + 3
|
|
PA-06
|
Lois Murphy
|
Rep. Jim Gerlach
|
Murphy 49 - Gerlach 44, Zogby 10/24-29;
Murphy 51 - Gerlach 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Murphy 47 - Gerlach 43, Garin Hart Young 10/22-23;
Murphy 52 - Gerlach 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Murphy 43 - Gerlach 41, Zogby (I) 9/25 - 10/2;
Gerlach 48 - Murphy 38, Franklin & Marshall Univ. Keystone (I) 9/20-25;
Gerlach 47 - Murphy 36, NRCC, 9/18;
Murphy 50 - Gerlach 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Murphy 42 - Gerlach 41, (D), 7/6
|
D + 2
|
|
PA-07
|
Joe Sestak
|
Rep. Curt Weldon
|
Sestak 50 - Weldon 43, Benenson Strategy 10/24;
Sestak 51 - Weldon 44, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Sestak 44 - Weldon 43, Franklin & Marshall Univ. Keystone (I) 9/22-27;
Weldon 52 - Sestak 33, NRCC, 9/18
|
D + 4
|
|
PA-08
|
Patrick Murphy
|
Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick
|
Murphy 46 - Fitzpatrick 41, Global Strategies Group 10/30;
Fitzpatrick 47 - Murphy 42, Mulenberg College 10/25-27;
Murphy 50 - Fitzpatrick 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Fitzpatrick 48 - Murphy 39, Keystone 10/19-23;
Murphy 45 - Fitzpatrick 43, Global Strategies Group 10/16;
Murphy 44 - Fitzpatrick 40, Grove Insight (D) poll 10/15; Murphy 44 - Fitzpatrick 40 Hotline 10/17, DCCC poll; Fitzpatrick 43 - Murphy 38, Hotline 9/22
Fitzpatrick 53 - Murphy 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
|
D + 3
|
|
PA-10
|
Chris Carney
|
Rep. Don Sherwood
|
Carney 47 - Sherwood 38, Lycoming College 10/22-26;
Carney 50 - Sherwood 38, Franklin and Marshall 10/23;
Carney 52 - Sherwood 37, Momentum Analysis 10/9-11;
Carney 51 - Sherwood 37, Bennett Petts & Rosenthal (D) 10/8-9;
Carney 47 - Sherwood 38, Lycoming College 9/24-28;
Carney 50 - Sherwood 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Sherwood 46 - Carney 42, Bennett Petts & Rosenthal (D) 8/21-23 for DCCC;
Sherwood 49 - Carney 43, Momentum Analysis (D) 4/20-23
|
R + 8
|
|
PA-15
|
Charles Dertinger
|
Rep. Charlie Dent
|
|
D + 2
|
|
PA-18
|
Chad Kluko
|
Rep. Tim Murphy
|
|
R + 2
|
|
VA-02
|
Phil Kellam
|
Rep. Thelma Drake
|
Drake 51 - Kellam 43, Zogby 10/24-29;
Kellam 50 - Drake 45, RT Strategies 10/24-26;
Drake 46 - Kellam 44, Mason-Dixon 10/23-24;
Drake 49 - Kellam 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Kellam 51 - Drake 43, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
Drake 48 - Kellam 41, McLaughlin & Associates (R) 8/28-29
|
R + 6
|
|
VA-10
|
Judy Feder
|
Rep. Frank Wolf
|
Wolf 47 - Feder 42, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
|
R + 5
|
|
VT-AL
|
Peter Welch
|
Martha Rainville
|
Welch 51 - Rainville 41, Research 2000 for WCAX-TV 10/23-24;
Welch 45 - Rainville 39, Research 2000 for WCAX-TV 9/18-19
|
|
|
WA-05
|
Peter Goldmark
|
Cathy McMorris
|
McMorris 51 - Goldmark 46; RT Strategies 10/24-26;
McMorris 45 - Goldmark 38, Lake Research Partners (D) 9/13-17;
McMorris 47 - Goldmark 21, Other/Undec. 32; (D) 7/20-23 for Goldmark
|
R + 7
|
|
WA-08
|
Darcy Burner
|
Dave Reichert
|
Burner 49 - Reichert 49, SurveyUSA 11/3-11/5;
Reichert 51 - Burner 45, SurveyUSA 10/28-30;
Burner 49 - Reichert 47, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Reichert 50 - Burner 47, KING-TV/SurveyUSA. 10/15-17; Reichert 48 - Burner 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Reichert 50 - Burner 48, SurveyUSA 9/24-26;
Reichert 44 - Burner 43, Grove Insight (D) 9/18-21;
Burner 49 - Reichert 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 8/27-29;
|
D + 2
|
|
WI-08
|
Steve Kagen
|
John Gard
|
Kagen 51 - Gard 45, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/24-26;
Kagen 43 - Gard 43, St. Norbert College poll 10/17-25;
Kagen 48 - Gard 46, RT Strategies and Constituent Dynamics 10/8-10;
Kagen 44 - Gard 41, Mellman Group (D) 9/14-17
|
R + 4
|
|
WY-AL
|
Gary Trauner
|
Barbara Cubin
|
Cubin 44 - Trauner 40, Aspen Media poll 10/18-25;
Cubin 44 - Trauner 37 Mason Dixon poll in Hotline 10/17;
Cubin 47 - Trauner 43, (R) 4/27
|
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